Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 61.670950 69.995472 78.554412 87.979049 98.033553 108.408977 119.894795
2025-06-15 49.700624 61.669281 74.574918 89.388914 105.794256 123.288071 143.237649
2025-06-22 42.730706 56.737130 72.378870 90.861613 111.844702 134.693822 161.231266
2025-06-29 36.162795 51.322673 68.830176 90.074189 114.727206 142.058968 174.291033
2025-07-06 30.179051 45.872051 64.615543 87.947548 115.581866 146.720776 183.942180
2025-07-13 27.918973 44.698080 65.243460 91.288189 122.574970 158.220217 201.213606
2025-07-20 25.389133 42.893092 64.873599 93.241101 127.785116 167.553506 215.924450
2025-07-27 22.194924 39.892781 62.757293 92.847763 130.025228 173.294838 226.382869
2025-08-03 19.261659 36.954477 60.489601 92.069360 131.639506 178.175040 235.737470
2025-08-10 17.195970 35.034552 59.394481 92.637598 134.793761 184.804162 247.083817
2025-08-17 14.949605 32.620840 57.467802 91.998896 136.345745 189.433892 256.007172
2025-08-24 13.260011 30.878529 56.329221 92.280708 138.966550 195.294133 266.350526
2025-08-31 11.308484 28.535111 54.239014 91.241996 139.903037 199.131457 274.341266
2025-09-07 10.240046 27.535210 53.993431 92.624273 143.897207 206.701902 286.830136
2025-09-14 9.315053 26.675622 53.882132 94.137198 148.024679 214.416840 299.486400
2025-09-21 7.923677 24.804119 52.149011 93.331767 149.081338 218.286096 307.449025
2025-09-28 6.402697 22.451112 49.525214 91.160525 148.254700 219.737161 312.407382
2025-10-05 6.179823 22.647182 50.856739 94.571372 154.796421 230.429170 328.695462
2025-10-12 5.699254 22.247015 51.209199 96.564858 159.447661 238.744661 342.076967
2025-10-19 4.834259 20.886882 49.937728 96.163377 160.861139 242.946429 350.378383
2025-10-26 4.006696 19.449750 48.444522 95.368818 161.695105 246.378022 357.704189
2025-11-02 3.477422 18.621325 47.912588 95.948856 164.363878 252.133485 367.906791
2025-11-09 2.843578 17.379244 46.591923 95.296890 165.312542 255.660217 375.319546